The Elderd Lab

The Herbivory Variability Network et al. 2023. Plant size, latitude, and phylogeny explain within-population variability in herbivory. Science 382, 679-683. pdf.

Richards, R. L., B. D. Elderd, and M. A. Duffy. 2023. Unhealthy herds and the predator-spreader: Understanding when predation increases disease incidence and prevalency. Ecology and Evolution 13. pdf.

Dallas, T. A. and B. D. Elderd. 2023. Mean-variance scaling and stability in commercial sex work networks. Social Network Analysis and Mining 13, 55. pdf.

Van Allen, B. G., F. P. Dillemuth, V. Dukic, and B. D. Elderd. 2023. Viral transmission and infection prevalence in a cannibalistic host-pathogen system. Oecologia 201, 499–511. pdf.

Foster, G., B. D. Elderd, R. L. Richards, and T. Dallas. 2022. Estimating R0 from early exponential growth: Parallels between 1918 influenza and 2020 SARS-CoV-2 pandemics. PNAS Nexus 1. pdf.

Dallas, T. A., G. Foster, R. L. Richards, and B. D. Elderd. 2022. Epidemic time series similarity is related to geographic distance and age structure.  Infectious Disease Modelling 7, 690-697. pdf.

Elderd, B. D., N. Mideo, and M. A. Duffy. 2022. Looking across scales in disease ecology and evolution. The American Naturalist 199, 51–58. pdf.

Garvey, M., K. Costanza, S. Grimmel, and B. D. Elderd. 2022. Examining the effects of induced plant defenses on Spodoptera fruigiperda performance. Applied Sciences 12. pdf.

Issa, P. P., M. Garvey, S. Grimmell, P. Pantha, M. Dassanayake, and B. D. Elderd. 2022. Hitching a Ride: Examining the ability of a specialist baculovirus to translocate through its insect host's food plant. Pathogens 10. pdf.

Lanka, S. K., B. D. Elderd, J. A. Davis, and M. J. Stout. 2021. Jasmonic acid-induced resistance to fall armyworm in soybeans: Variation among genotypes and tradeoffs with constitutive resistance. Basic and Applied Ecology 56, 97–109. pdf.

Pantha, P., S. Chalivendra, D. Oh, B. D. Elderd, and M. Dassanayake. 2021. A tale of two transcriptomic responses in agricultural pests via host defenses and viral replication. MDPI: International Journal of Molecular Sciences 22, 3568. pdf.

Santiago-Rosario, L., K. Harms, B. D. Elderd, P. Hart, and M. Dassanayake. 2021. No Escape: The Influence of Substrate Sodium on Plant Growth and Tissue Sodium Responses. Ecology and Evolution. pdf.

Villellas, J. et al. 2021. Local adaptation can be predicted from observational data for reproductive but not vegetative traits in a widespread short-lived plan. Ecology Letters. pdf.

Flick, A. F., T. Coudron, and B. D. Elderd. 2020. Intraguild predation increases pathogen transmission in a herbivore host and decreases predator fitness. Oecologia. pdf.

Shaffery, P., B. D. Elderd, and V. Dukic. 2020. A note on species richness and the variance of epidemic severity. Journal of Mathematical Biology 80, 2055–2074. pdf.

Smith, A. L. et al 2020. Global gene flow releases invasive plants from environmental constraints on genetic diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA  117, 4218–4227. pdf. Supp Info.

Acevedo, M. A., F. P. Dillemuth, M. Faldyn, A. Flick, and B. D. Elderd. 2019. Virulence- driven trade-offs in disease transmission: A meta-analysis. Evolution 73, 636–647. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. 2019. Bottom-up trait-mediated indirect effects decrease pathogen transmission in a tritrophic system. Ecology. e02551. pdf.

Shrestha, S., B. D. Elderd, and V. Dukic. 2019. Bayesian-based survival analysis: Inferring time to death in host-pathogen interactions. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 26, 17– 45. pdf.

Faldyn, M.J., Hunter, M.D., and Elderd, B.D. 2018. Climate change and an invasive, tropical milkweed: An ecological trap for monarch butterflies. Ecology 99, 1031–1038. pdf.

Hovanes, K. A., Harms, K.E., Gagnon, P.R., Myers, J.A., and Elderd B.D. 2018. Overdispersed spatial patterning of dominant bunchgrasses in Southeastern Pine Savannas. The American Naturalist 191, 658–667. pdf.

Joshi, T., Elderd, B. D., and Abbott, K.C. 2018. No appendix necessary: Fecal transplants and antibiotics can resolve Clostridium difficile infection. Journal of Theoretical Biology 442, 139–148. pdf.

Elderd, B. D. 2018. Modeling insect epizootics and their population-level consequences. In: Ecology of Invertebrate Diseases. Edited by A. Hajek and D. Shapiro-Ilan. Wiley. pdf.

Van Allen, B.G., Dillemuth, F.P., Flick, A.J., Faldyn, M.J., Clark, D.R., Rudolf, V.H.W., and Elderd, B.D. 2017. Cannibalism and infectious disease: Friend or foe? American Naturalist. 120, 299-312. pdf.

Barraquand, F., Louca, S., Abbott, K.C., Cobbold, C.A., Cordoleani, F., DeAngelis, D.L., Elderd, B.D., Fow, J.W., Greenwood, P., Hilker, F.M., Lutscher, F., Murray, D.L., Stieha, C.R., Taylor, R.A., Vitense, K., Wolkowicz, G.S.K., and Tyson, R.C. 2017. Moving forward in circles: Challenges and opportunities in modeling population cycles. Ecology Letters. 20:1074-1092. pdf.

Shikano, I., McCarthy, E., Elderd, B.D., and Hoover, K. 2017. Plant genotype and induced defenses affect the productivity of an insect-killing obligate viral pathogen. Journal of Invertebrate Pathoglogy. 148:34-42. pdf. Supp Info.

Compagnoni, A., Bibian, A.J., Ochocki, B.M., Rogers, H.S., Schultz, E.L., Sneck, M.E., Elderd, B.D., Iler, A.M., Inouye, D.W., Jacquemyn, H., and Miller, T.E.X. 2016. The effect of demographic correlations on the stochastic population dynamics of perennial plants. Ecological Monographs. 86:480-494. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. and T.E.X. Miller. 2016. Quantifying demographic uncertainty: Bayesian methods for Integral Projection Models (IPMs). Ecological Monographs. 86:125-144. pdf.

Flick, A.J., M.A. Acevedo, and B.D. Elderd. 2016. The negative effects of pathogen-infected prey on predators: A meta-analysis. Oikos. pdf. (Editor's Choice)

Elderd, B.D. and R.J. Reilly. 2014. Warmer temperatures increase disease transmission and outbreak intensity in a host-pathogen system. Journal of Animal Ecology.  83:838-849. pdf. Supp Info.

Reilly, R.J. and B.D. Elderd. 2014. Effects of biological control on long-term population dynamics: Identifying unexpected outcomes. Journal of Applied Ecology. 51:90-101. pdf. Supp Info.

Aronhime, B., B.D. Elderd, C. Wicks, M. McMichael, and E. Eich. 2014. Teaching exponential growth in a variety of classroom laboratory settings. Teaching Issues and Experiments in Ecology.  9. Link.

Elderd, B.D., K. Haynes, B. Rehill, and G. Dwyer. 2013. Interactions between an induced plant defense and a pathogen drive outbreaks of a forest insect.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA. 110:14978-14983. pdf. Supp Info.

Elderd, B.D. 2013. Developing models of disease transmission: Insights from the ecology of baculovirus-driven systems.  PLoS Pathogens 9. pdf.

Elderd, B.D., V.M. Dukic, and G. Dwyer. 2013. Population-level differences in disease transmission: A Bayesian analysis of multiple smallpox epidemics.  Epidemics. 5:146-156. pdf.  Supp Info.

Fuller, E.C., B.D. Elderd, and G. Dwyer. 2012. Pathogen persistence in the environment and insect-baculovirus interactions: Disease-density thresholds, epidemic burnout and insect outbreaks. The American Naturalist.179:E70-E96. pdf.  Reviewed by the Faculty of 1000.

Parker, B.J., B.D. Elderd, and G. Dwyer. 2010. Host-behavior and exposure risk in an insect pathogen. Journal of Animal Ecology. 79:863-870.  pdf. Supp Info.

Elderd, B.D., J. Dushoff, and G. Dwyer. 2008. Host-pathogen interactions, insect outbreaks and natural selection for disease resistance. The American Naturalist. 172:829-842.  pdf.

Grear, J. and B.D. Elderd. 2008. Performance of partial life cycle models when survivorship varies with age. Oikos. 117:1587-1593. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. and M.P. Nott. 2008. Changing landscapes, changing demography: An individual-based model for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis). Journal of Applied Ecology. 45:258-268. pdf.

Elderd, B.D., V. Dukic, and G. Dwyer. 2006. Quantifying uncertainty in predictions of public-health responses to bioterrorism and emerging diseases. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA. 103:15693-15697. pdf. Supp Info.

Elderd, B.D. and D.F. Doak. 2006. Abiotic and biotic impacts of disturbance on plant population dynamics: Flooding, herbivory, and Mimulus guttatus. Journal of Ecology, 94: 656-669. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. 2006. Disturbance mediated trophic interactions and plant performance. Oecologia, 147: 261-271. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. 2003. Changing flow regimes: Its impacts on riparian vegetation and a common riparian species, Mimulus guttatus. Ecological Applications, 13: 1610-1625. pdf.

Wilcox, C. and B. Elderd. 2003. The effect of density-dependent catastrophic mortality on population persistence times. Journal of Applied Ecology, 40 : 859-871. pdf.

Elderd, B.D., P. Shahani, and D.F. Doak. 2003. Problems and potential uses of count-based PVAs. In Population Viability in Plants. Edited by C. Brigham and M. Schwartz. Springer-Verlag, pp. 173-202. pdf.

Wilcox, C.V. and B.D. Elderd. 2003. The endangered species act petitioning process: Success and failures. Society and Natural Resources, 16 : 551-559. pdf.

Harding, E., E. Crone, B.D. Elderd, J. Hoekstra, A. McKerrow, J. Perrine, J. Regetz, L. Rissler, A. Stanley, E. Walters, and NCEAS HCP Working Group. 2001. The scientific foundations of habitat conservation plans: A quantitative assessment. Conservation Biology, 15: 488-500. pdf.

Beissinger, S., S. Tygielski, and B. Elderd. 1997. Social constraints on the onset of incubation in a neotropical parrot: A nestbox addition experiment. Animal Behaviour, 55: 21-32. pdf.

Elderd, B.D. 2013.  Book review of “Bayesian analysis for population ecology” by King et al.  Quarterly Review of Biology, 88: 32-33.

Elderd, B. and A. Graff. 2001. Review of the community and rare plant monitoring programs conducted by The Nature Conservancy on Santa Cruz Island Preserve, 1991-1995. TNC Report.

Elderd, B., T. Vos, and M. Los Huertos. 1999. Green revolutions (letter to the editor). Science, 283: 1267.

Kareiva, P., et al. (15 total co-authors). 1999. Using science in habitat conservation plans. AIBS Report.


Publications (Journal Articles/Book Chapters)

Reports, letters, and book reviews